Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 18.771764 22.636386 26.915673 31.980636 37.785763 44.204982 51.812801
2025-05-18 12.835903 17.779333 23.851313 31.746751 41.621073 53.436909 68.507434
2025-05-25 9.259580 14.376563 21.207098 30.755475 43.493811 59.621732 81.265993
2025-06-01 7.126782 12.238260 19.569465 30.455475 45.757677 66.012887 94.283184
2025-06-08 5.367618 10.184591 17.591420 29.232121 46.397615 70.042680 104.201611
2025-06-15 4.528878 9.351176 17.207447 30.134351 49.931509 78.057268 119.772872
2025-06-22 3.536151 8.019671 15.798382 29.236713 50.642955 82.030831 129.837357
2025-06-29 3.069841 7.525622 15.662396 30.274584 54.276312 90.334911 146.373902
2025-07-06 2.311597 6.272879 13.996556 28.555182 53.386914 91.804059 152.965042
2025-07-13 2.036422 5.956659 13.971579 29.606041 56.980677 100.193908 170.125595
2025-07-20 1.778235 5.613006 13.833154 30.415549 60.194025 108.115618 186.878809
2025-07-27 1.581782 5.366056 13.843210 31.477341 63.875935 116.918399 205.304991
2025-08-03 1.341688 4.978982 13.577556 32.135651 67.165766 125.683461 224.764121
2025-08-10 1.072765 4.429708 12.878318 31.893761 68.890236 132.086327 240.980801
2025-08-17 0.815841 3.807150 11.880004 30.898436 69.118264 135.959582 253.266873
2025-08-24 0.646238 3.384414 11.262763 30.597297 70.575370 141.937564 269.173404
2025-08-31 0.476216 2.867962 10.287341 29.369342 70.113175 144.519424 279.516717
2025-09-07 0.410293 2.721938 10.265399 30.274968 73.899200 154.740432 303.052084
2025-09-14 0.306296 2.347133 9.513585 29.373951 73.953021 158.254678 315.295456
2025-09-21 0.267177 2.253928 9.569787 30.415727 78.068781 169.323783 340.925889
2025-09-28 0.182717 1.852871 8.567935 28.689841 76.210486 169.256528 347.141930
2025-10-05 0.159680 1.789206 8.649606 29.744672 80.390804 180.666428 373.956105
2025-10-12 0.136364 1.704745 8.640927 30.557220 84.087090 191.302411 399.730348